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Will Trump's tax proposals increase US manufacturing jobs by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
US Bureau of Labor Statistics or major news outlets reporting on employment data
Story
Trump to Propose Tax-Deductible Car Loan Interest and 15% Corporate Tax Rate for US Manufacturers
Oct 10, 2024, 04:40 PM
Donald Trump is set to propose significant tax changes in an upcoming speech at the Detroit Economic Club. According to excerpts from his speech, Trump will propose making interest on car loans fully tax-deductible. Additionally, he will advocate for a 'Made in America' corporate tax rate of 15% specifically for US manufacturers. These proposals, reported by Reuters, aim to stimulate economic growth and support domestic manufacturing.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in U.S. manufacturing jobs • 25%
Decrease in U.S. manufacturing jobs • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Significant increase in US manufacturing output • 25%
Moderate increase in US manufacturing output • 25%
Little to no change in US manufacturing output • 25%
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No change • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
Moderate Increase • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Significant increase in U.S. manufacturing • 25%
Moderate increase in U.S. manufacturing • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in U.S. manufacturing • 25%
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0-2% • 25%
2-4% • 25%
4-6% • 25%
6% or more • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Highest level in history • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%