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Will Trump's executive order banning transgender military service be implemented by Jan 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official White House announcements or Department of Defense press releases
Story
Trump Plans Executive Order to Ban Transgender Military Service, Affecting 15,000 by January 20
Nov 24, 2024, 11:27 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly planning to sign an executive order that would ban transgender individuals from serving in the U.S. military. The move, which could be implemented as early as January 20, would result in the removal of approximately 15,000 transgender active service members. The executive order would also prevent transgender individuals from joining the military in the future.
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No • 50%
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Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Comment • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Modified after legal challenges • 25%
Repealed by Congress • 25%