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Market
Will Trump take military action against Hamas within the first 100 days of his term if hostages are not released?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Trump Demands Release of Eight American Hostages Held by Hamas Before Assuming Office
Jul 19, 2024, 04:04 AM
Former U.S. President Donald J. Trump issued a stern warning to Hamas during his speech at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. Trump demanded the release of eight American hostages held in the Gaza Strip, stating that they must be freed before he assumes office, or Hamas will face severe consequences. His remarks come amid ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. Trump emphasized that the hostages' return is a priority and that failure to comply would result in a 'very big price.' The crowd at the convention responded with chants of 'Bring Them Home.'
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Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
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Condemnation • 25%
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