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Will Trump be convicted of campaign finance violation, tax fraud, both, or neither?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Campaign finance violation • 25%
Tax fraud • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Court records, major news outlets
Story
Jury in Trump's Hush Money Trial Ends First Day Without Verdict on Wednesday
May 29, 2024, 09:03 PM
The jury in Donald Trump's hush money trial concluded its first day of deliberations on Wednesday without reaching a verdict. The jurors requested to rehear potentially crucial testimony related to the alleged hush money scheme. All 12 jurors must reach a unanimous decision to convict Trump, though they may disagree on the specific crimes. Trump has expressed concerns about a 'rigged' guilty verdict as the case progresses.
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Fraud • 25%
Obstruction of Justice • 25%
Tax Evasion • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction Overturned • 33%
Conviction Upheld • 33%
New Trial Ordered • 33%
Conviction upheld • 33%
Conviction overturned • 33%
Case remanded for retrial • 33%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Conviction upheld • 33%
Conviction overturned • 33%
New trial ordered • 33%
Prison time • 33%
Probation • 33%
Fine only • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted • 33%
Acquitted • 33%
Trial Ongoing • 34%
Trump found guilty • 33%
Trump found not guilty • 33%
Trial inconclusive or delayed • 34%
Guilty on all counts • 25%
Guilty on some counts • 25%
Acquitted on all counts • 25%
Trial dismissed • 25%
Convicted on all counts • 33%
Convicted on some counts • 33%
Not convicted • 33%