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Will there be significant peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from either Russian or Ukrainian governments or credible news sources
Story
Ukraine's August 6th Incursion into Kursk Raises Concerns for Nuclear Power Russia
Sep 1, 2024, 08:36 AM
Ukraine's incursion into Russia's Kursk Oblast on August 6th has been described as an audacious and desperate move, surprising both Russia and the international community. This event is significant as it marks the first instance where a declared nuclear power, Russia, has faced invasion and occupation by another country. The situation has left global observers concerned about the potential for Russian escalation in response to Ukraine's actions.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No peace talks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
