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Market
Will there be international intervention in the Israel-Hamas conflict by end of 2024, and if so, by whom?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN intervention • 33%
US-led intervention • 33%
No intervention • 33%
Public announcements by UN, US, or other involved international bodies; credible news sources
Story
IDF Confirms Death of Bedouin Sgt. Maj. Muhammad el-Atrash, Killed on October 7, Body Held by Hamas
Jun 24, 2024, 04:45 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has confirmed the death of Sgt. Maj. Muhammad el-Atrash, a 39-year-old Bedouin tracker from the southern community of Sa'wa. El-Atrash was killed and abducted by Hamas militants on October 7 while serving in the Gaza Division's Northern Brigade at Kibbutz Nahal Oz. His body is currently being held by Hamas in Gaza. El-Atrash, a father of 13, is survived by his two wives.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN-led intervention • 25%
NATO-led intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
Other international intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN intervention • 25%
US intervention • 25%
EU intervention • 25%
No significant intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
NATO intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
Other international intervention • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Peace Talks • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
