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Will there be another reported attack involving IRGC in Syria by end of 2024?

3

Iran•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Syria•Israel•Hezbollah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Credible news agencies, official statements

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19 IRGC Members Killed, 150 Injured in Syria Pager Explosions Triggered by Israel

Sep 18, 2024, 12:30 PM

Nineteen members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were killed and over 150 were injured in a series of pager explosions in Deir ez-Zor, eastern Syria. The explosions, reportedly triggered by Israel, occurred yesterday. Saudi-owned news agency Al-Hadath confirmed the incident. The presence of Hezbollah pagers among the IRGC members further demonstrates the connection between these two groups. The IRGC has denied the claims.

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Will there be another attack on IRGC personnel in Syria by November 30, 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Which country will be accused of the next major attack on IRGC personnel in Syria by end of 2024?

Israel • 25%

United States • 25%

Turkey • 25%

Other • 25%

What will be the primary method of the next reported attack on IRGC personnel in Syria by end of 2024?

Airstrike • 25%

Bombing • 25%

Ambush • 25%

Other • 25%

Will the IRGC be involved in an attack on Israel by end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will there be a retaliatory attack by Hezbollah or IRGC against Israel by the end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will there be another missile attack from Iran on Israel by the end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will Israel conduct further airstrikes on IRGC facilities in Syria by Dec 31, 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will there be another missile attack on Israel by Iran by the end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Iran's IRGC response to U.S. airstrikes in Syria by end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Iran responds militarily to Israeli airstrikes in Syria by end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will IRGC increase its presence in Syria by April 30, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will Iran conduct another ballistic missile attack on Israel by the end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

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Will Al-Hadath report another IRGC incident in Syria by end of 2024?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Will IRGC acknowledge Israel's involvement in Deir ez-Zor explosions by end of 2024?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

What will be the international community's reaction to Deir ez-Zor explosions by end of 2024?

UN sanctions on Israel • 25%

Increased military presence in Syria • 25%

No significant action • 25%

Diplomatic condemnation • 25%

What will Hezbollah's response be to Deir ez-Zor explosions by end of 2024?

Condemnation without action • 25%

No official response • 25%

Retaliation against Israel • 25%

Denial of involvement • 25%