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Will there be another assassination attempt on a European defense executive by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major news outlets and official government statements
Story
US and Germany Foil Russian Plot to Assassinate Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger: CNN
Jul 11, 2024, 03:31 PM
The United States and Germany have successfully foiled a Russian plot to assassinate Armin Papperger, the CEO of Rheinmetall, a prominent German arms manufacturer. Rheinmetall has been instrumental in producing artillery shells and military vehicles for Ukraine. U.S. intelligence discovered the assassination plan earlier this year and subsequently informed German authorities, who took measures to protect Papperger and thwart the plot. This incident, reported by CNN, is part of a broader Russian campaign targeting defense industry executives across Europe who are supporting Ukraine's war effort, according to five U.S. and western officials.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Poland • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia formally accused • 25%
Russia not formally accused • 25%
Plot confirmed but no formal accusation • 25%
Plot dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
