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Will there be an increase in Ebola cases due to skin transmission in Africa by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from health organizations like WHO and CDC
Story
Study Reveals Ebola Virus Can Spread Through Skin Contact via Three Cell Types in Human Skin Explants
Jan 3, 2025, 04:46 PM
Recent research has revealed new insights into the transmission of the Ebola virus, suggesting that direct contact with the skin may facilitate its spread. A study utilizing human skin explants has tracked the cellular route of the virus, identifying at least three cell types in the lower dermis that are permissive to infection. The findings indicate that the virus can traverse the skin layers and permeate the outermost epidermis, potentially explaining how Ebola can be transmitted through touch. This research highlights the skin's role as a route for Ebola virus infection and underscores the importance of understanding its transmission mechanisms.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Weakened collaborations • 25%
Strengthened collaborations • 25%
Outbreak worsened • 25%
Outbreak fully controlled • 25%
Outbreak partially controlled • 25%
Outbreak ongoing • 25%
Other mode of transmission • 25%
Airborne • 25%
Contact with infected individuals • 25%
Contaminated water or food • 25%
More than 2000 cases • 25%
Less than 500 cases • 25%
500 to 1000 cases • 25%
1001 to 2000 cases • 25%
Disease X • 25%
Malaria • 25%
Respiratory illness • 25%
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