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Market
Will the U.S. withdraw from the WHO by January 20, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or WHO confirming withdrawal.
Story
Trump Transition Plans U.S. Withdrawal from WHO on January 20, 2025, Threatening Half of All Global Health Aid
Dec 22, 2024, 06:15 AM
Health organizations are preparing for potential reductions in global health contributions as Donald Trump's transition team plans to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO) on January 20, 2025. The U.S. currently provides about half of all global health aid, which exceeds contributions from other donor countries combined. Experts warn that such a withdrawal could create a significant gap in global health financing and leadership, with one commentator describing the plan as 'catastrophic' for global health. Trump's team has expressed concerns that the WHO has become overly influenced by China and aims to end U.S. membership and funding.
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Financial concerns • 25%
Alleged WHO mismanagement • 25%
Perceived influence by China • 25%
Other • 25%
Criticism of the U.S. decision • 25%
Calls for increased funding from other nations • 25%
Plans for restructuring WHO funding • 25%
Other responses • 25%
New Pandemic Response Framework • 25%
Increased Funding from Other Nations • 25%
Formation of New Health Alliance • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Significant disruption • 25%
Moderate disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No noticeable disruption • 25%