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Will the U.S. conduct a publicized offensive cyber operation by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from reputable news outlets such as Reuters, CNN, or official government statements
Story
Trump's Incoming National Security Adviser Mike Waltz Promises Higher Costs for Foreign Hackers After China Cyberattack
Dec 16, 2024, 03:04 AM
Incoming National Security Adviser Mike Waltz has stated that the administration of President-elect Donald Trump will implement stricter measures against cyber attackers, particularly foreign hackers. Waltz emphasized the need for the U.S. to impose higher costs on both private actors and adversaries who engage in cyber attacks against the country. He indicated that the Trump administration plans to adopt a more aggressive stance, potentially including offensive actions in response to cyber threats. This announcement follows concerns over recent cyberattacks, particularly from China, which Waltz cited as a significant threat that necessitates a stronger U.S. response.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Further domain seizures • 25%
Sanctions against Russian entities • 25%
Increased cybersecurity collaborations • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic actions taken • 25%
Military actions taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Cyber countermeasures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
