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Market
Will the U.S. commission a new study on vaccine safety by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement or press release from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services or CDC
Story
Trump Plans to Discuss Ending Childhood Vaccines Over Alleged Autism Link with RFK Jr.
Dec 12, 2024, 08:17 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to discuss the potential elimination of childhood vaccination programs with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., his nominee for Secretary of Health and Human Services. This decision stems from concerns over the alleged link between vaccines and autism, a theory widely discredited by scientific research. Trump indicated that he respects Kennedy's views on vaccines, despite the latter's history of promoting anti-vaccine misinformation. During an interview with Time magazine, Trump suggested that the discussion could lead to the removal of vaccines if they are deemed dangerous or not beneficial. He emphasized the need for serious testing to determine the safety and efficacy of vaccines, stating that his administration would conduct comprehensive studies to assess the risks and benefits.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No changes recommended • 25%
Some vaccines recommended for elimination • 25%
Enhanced safety protocols recommended • 25%
Comprehensive overhaul of vaccine policies • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No link found • 25%
Link found • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%