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Will the UN Climate Summit 2024 result in a new agreement to cut emissions by 30% by 2030?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements and agreements published by the UN following the Climate Summit
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UN Warns of Catastrophic 3.1°C Global Warming by 2100 Without Urgent Action
Oct 24, 2024, 02:12 PM
The United Nations has issued a stark warning that the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C is virtually unattainable under current policies. According to the latest UN report, the world is on track for a catastrophic 3.1°C rise in global temperatures by 2100 if urgent climate action is not taken. The report highlights that annual greenhouse gas emissions are at an all-time high, with global emissions reaching a record 57.1 gigatonnes. The UN is urging governments to intensify their efforts to combat climate change ahead of this year's international climate summit, warning that without significant changes, the Paris Agreement's targets will not be met.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority of countries pledge stronger targets • 25%
Some countries pledge stronger targets • 25%
No significant new targets pledged • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in emissions targets • 25%
No change in emissions targets • 25%
Decrease in emissions targets • 25%
No consensus reached • 25%
New carbon tax initiatives • 25%
Increased renewable energy targets • 25%
Deforestation reduction commitments • 25%
Other major policy • 25%