Loading...
Market
Will the Ukraine war be resolved within 100 days of Trump's inauguration?
2
Donald Trump•Ukraine•Trump•Keith Kellogg•Fox News•Financial Times•Kyiv•Afghanistan•Joe Biden•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or United Nations regarding the end of the conflict
Story
Trump Extends Ukraine War Resolution to Six Months, Signals Continued Support for Kyiv
Jan 9, 2025, 04:22 PM
Donald Trump, the U.S. president-elect, has revised his timeline for ending the war in Ukraine, moving away from his earlier claim of resolving the conflict within '24 hours' of his inauguration to a more realistic timeframe of 'several months', with a six-month period suggested as a possibility. Trump's special envoy for Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, mentioned to Fox News a goal of stopping the war within 100 days. This shift, reported by the Financial Times, indicates a continued support for Kyiv. Trump's team is reportedly focused on appearing strong, influenced by fears of being compared to the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan under President Joe Biden. Discussions with European officials suggest that Trump's administration has not yet finalized its approach to the conflict, but U.S. support for Ukraine is expected to persist post-inauguration on January 20.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
War continues • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%