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Will the UK complete the evacuation of British nationals from Lebanon by October 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the UK government or Ministry of Defence
Story
UK Urges 10,000 Nationals to Leave Lebanon as 700 Troops Deployed to Cyprus
Sep 24, 2024, 09:39 PM
The UK government has urged all British nationals to leave Lebanon immediately due to escalating tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. Around 700 British troops are being deployed to Cyprus to assist in potential evacuation efforts. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer emphasized the urgency of the situation, stating, 'Now is the time to leave.' Approximately 10,000 British nationals are currently in Lebanon. Defence Secretary John Healey has also urged Britons to leave the crisis-torn country now. The Ministry of Defence is implementing contingency plans as fears of an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah grow.
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Less than 2,500 • 25%
2,500 to 5,000 • 25%
5,001 to 7,500 • 25%
More than 7,500 • 25%
Helicopter • 25%
Ship • 25%
Commercial Flight • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased flights available • 25%
Decreased flights available • 25%
No change in flight availability • 25%
All flights suspended • 25%
Most British nationals leave Lebanon • 25%
Few British nationals leave Lebanon • 25%
No significant change in British nationals' presence • 25%
Emergency evacuation ordered • 25%
Russia only • 25%
Russia and Israel • 25%
Russia, Israel, and one other country • 25%
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