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Market
Will the UBI study by OpenAI result in improved mental health by July 22, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official study results published by OpenResearch and NBER
Story
OpenAI's Sam Altman Conducts Largest UBI Study, Distributes $45 Million in Texas and Illinois
Jul 22, 2024, 11:31 AM
OpenAI founder Sam Altman has conducted a large-scale experiment on universal basic income (UBI), distributing $45 million to thousands of low-income individuals. The study, supported by OpenResearch and NBER, provided 1,000 participants in Texas and Illinois with $1,000 per month for three years. The results indicate that the cash payments improved the lives of recipients, although the study's findings are expected to fuel ongoing debates about welfare and employment effects.
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Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
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Deferred • 34%
Yes, within Anthropic • 25%
Yes, industry-wide impact • 25%
Yes, but only minor changes • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Yes • 50%
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