Loading...
Market
Will the Reform Party gain a seat in the next general election?
4
Penny Mordaunt•House of Commons•Conservative•Portsmouth North•Labour•General Election•Mordaunt•Amanda Martin•Reform Party
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results from the UK Electoral Commission.
Story
Penny Mordaunt Loses Portsmouth North Seat to Labour by 780 Votes
Jul 5, 2024, 03:10 AM
Penny Mordaunt, Leader of the House of Commons and a senior Conservative figure, has lost her Portsmouth North seat to Labour in the 2024 General Election. Mordaunt, who has held the seat since 2010, was narrowly defeated by Labour candidate Amanda Martin, who secured 14,495 votes compared to Mordaunt's 13,715 votes, resulting in an 18% swing. The Reform Party's significant vote share of 8,501 is believed to have contributed to the Conservative loss. Mordaunt lost by 780 votes. This defeat marks a significant blow to Mordaunt's political career and potential leadership aspirations.
View original story
Similar markets
0-1 • 25%
2-3 • 25%
4-5 • 25%
6+ • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-5 seats • 25%
6-10 seats • 25%
11-15 seats • 25%
16 or more seats • 25%
