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Will the Rafah border be closed temporarily within 3 months following the incident?
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Rafah•Israeli•Egyptian•Channel 13•Channel 14•Israeli military•Egyptian army•Cairo•Jerusalem•Walla•Egyptian military
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports and official statements from either the Israeli or Egyptian government
Story
Incident at Rafah Border Between Israeli and Egyptian Forces Results in Two Egyptian Soldiers Killed
May 27, 2024, 12:57 PM
An incident occurred at the Rafah border crossing between Israeli and Egyptian forces, resulting in casualties. Reports indicate that Egyptian security forces opened fire on an Israeli truck, prompting Israeli soldiers to respond with gunfire. Israeli media, including Channel 13 and Channel 14, initially reported the incident but quickly deleted the news following directives from military censors. The Israeli military has confirmed the incident and stated that it is in contact with the Egyptian army amid high tensions between Cairo and Jerusalem. Meanwhile, Walla news reported that two Egyptian soldiers were killed in the clash. A statement from the Egyptian military is expected shortly.
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Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Military response • 33%
No response • 34%
Israel fired first • 33%
Egypt fired first • 33%
Inconclusive results • 34%
Strengthening of the Accords • 25%
Weakening of the Accords • 25%
No impact on the Accords • 25%
Revision or renegotiation of the Accords • 25%
Formal protest • 25%
Military response • 25%
Negotiations for control • 25%
No action • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Egypt • 25%
Condemnation of both parties • 25%
No significant response • 25%
IDF fault • 25%
Egyptian fault • 25%
Joint fault • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased security measures • 33%
Maintenance of current security level • 33%
Reduction in security measures • 34%
