Loading...
Market
Will the Minuteman III hypersonic missile launch successfully between 11:01 PM and 5:01 AM PT on Nov 5-6, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the United States Department of Defense or Vandenberg Space Force Base
Story
US to Test Minuteman III Hypersonic Nuclear Missile Tonight from Vandenberg Space Force Base, 11:01 PM to 5:01 AM PT
Nov 5, 2024, 07:36 PM
The United States is scheduled to conduct a test launch of a hypersonic nuclear-capable missile tonight, shortly after the polls close for the 2024 presidential election. The test involves an unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), which is set to blast off from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California. The launch window is between 11:01 PM and 5:01 AM Pacific Time. This timing has raised questions about the implications of the test amid heightened geopolitical tensions, with some observers suggesting it may serve as a warning to other nations regarding potential post-election developments.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful launch • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful Launch • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Test Aborted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
National Security • 25%
Election Timing • 25%
International Reaction • 25%
Technical Details • 25%
Routine readiness check • 25%
Technological advancement • 25%
Strategic signaling • 25%
Other • 25%