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Will the Mexican Supreme Court rule against AMLO's judicial reform by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
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No • 50%
Official ruling from the Mexican Supreme Court or major news outlets like Reuters or BBC
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Mexico's Lower House Approves AMLO's Controversial Judicial Reform on Wednesday
Sep 4, 2024, 10:41 AM
Mexico's lower house of Congress has approved the general text of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's controversial judicial reform. The reform, debated in a marathon session that lasted until 4am on Wednesday morning, includes measures to make federal judges popularly elected and broaden pre-trial detention. This approval marks a significant step towards fulfilling a key ambition of the outgoing president. The Mexican peso has been negatively impacted by the anticipation of this reform.
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Reform upheld • 33%
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Reform fully struck down • 33%