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Will the location where El Mayo Zambada was allegedly kidnapped be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
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Sinaloa Cartel•Zambada•Mexican•Cold War•El Mayo•FGR•Sinaloa State Prosecutor•Joaquín Guzmán López•United States•Héctor Melesio Cuén•Cuén•Culiacán•Rubén Rocha Moya•Sinaloa
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed within Mexico • 33%
Confirmed outside Mexico • 33%
Not confirmed • 34%
Official statement from the FGR or credible news sources
Story
Capture of El Mayo Zambada Sparks Cover-Up Speculation and Links to Héctor Cuén Murder
Aug 22, 2024, 01:09 AM
The capture of Sinaloa Cartel leaders, including Ismael 'El Mayo' Zambada, has sparked a complex situation involving Mexican authorities. A Cold War is reported within the cartel following El Mayo's capture. The Federal Attorney General's Office (FGR) has contradicted the Sinaloa State Prosecutor's account, suggesting a possible cover-up. The FGR has identified the location where El Mayo was allegedly kidnapped and the runway from which a plane took him and Joaquín Guzmán López to the United States. The capture is linked to the murder of politician Héctor Melesio Cuén, with the FGR rejecting claims that Cuén was killed at a gas station in Culiacán. Governor Rubén Rocha Moya of Sinaloa has denied plans to resign amid accusations of covering up the detention of El Mayo and the murder of Cuén. Operations have been reinforced in Culiacán, with the governor urging public safety and calm.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
High-ranking cartel members • 25%
Low-ranking cartel members • 25%
Non-cartel individuals • 25%
No additional individuals identified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Found guilty • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Awaiting trial • 25%
Confirmed and 'El Chapito' arrested • 25%
Confirmed but 'El Chapito' not arrested • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
