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Will the investigation into the Rafah air strike be completed by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official release from the Israeli military or government
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Israel Investigates 'Very Grave' Rafah Air Strike Incident on Sunday Night, Dozens Killed
May 27, 2024, 09:20 AM
Israel's top military prosecutor, Maj.-Gen. Yifat Tomer Yerushalmi, has described the recent air strike on Rafah as 'very grave' and confirmed that an investigation is ongoing. The incident, which occurred on Sunday night, resulted in the deaths of dozens of Palestinian civilians according to Gaza health authorities. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have expressed regret for any harm caused to civilians and stated that many precautionary steps were taken before the strikes, with estimates indicating no civilians would be hurt.
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Findings released • 50%
Findings not released • 50%
Findings confirm error • 50%
Findings deny error • 50%
Fault admitted • 25%
No fault found • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Investigation extended • 25%
Yes, investigation launched • 50%
No, no investigation launched • 50%
No fault found • 33%
Operational errors acknowledged • 33%
Intentional misconduct found • 34%
Fault admitted by military personnel • 33%
Fault attributed to intelligence failure • 33%
Investigation inconclusive or results not published • 34%
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Yes • 50%
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