Loading...
Market
Will the House task force publish a report on the Butler rally security failure by February 28, 2025?
2
Secret Service•Ronald Rowe•House•Donald Trump•Butler Farm Show•Butler•Pennsylvania•Trump•Rowe•Pat Fallon•Fallon
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publication of the report on the House of Representatives website or a credible news outlet
Story
Acting Secret Service Chief Admits 'Abject Failure' in Trump Assassination Attempt at Butler Rally
Dec 5, 2024, 04:32 PM
Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe testified before a bipartisan House task force investigating assassination attempts against President-elect Donald Trump, acknowledging the agency's "abject failure" during the July 13th rally at the Butler Farm Show site in Butler, Pennsylvania. At that event, a gunman shot at Mr. Trump, grazing his ear, and killed one rallygoer while injuring two others. Rowe stated that the Secret Service did not meet expectations in adequately securing the site and that failures by multiple employees warrant disciplinary action, adding, "There will be accountability." The task force, concluding its five-month investigation, held its final hearing where a heated exchange erupted between Rowe and Rep. Pat Fallon (R-TX) over security lapses and Rowe's attendance at a 9/11 memorial event. The shouting match escalated when Rowe accused Fallon of invoking 9/11 for political purposes.
View original story
Similar markets
Minor reforms recommended • 25%
Major reforms recommended • 25%
No reforms recommended • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Personnel changes recommended • 25%
Procedural errors identified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Formal investigation initiated • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Legal reforms proposed • 25%
Leadership accountability • 25%
Other focuses • 25%
Political influences • 25%
Security protocol failures • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. Capitol Police • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
FBI • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Collusion with witnesses • 25%
Witness tampering • 25%
Other • 25%
Security failures on Jan 6 • 25%