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Market
Will the full manifesto be publicly released by June 30, 2025?
2
Tesla Cybertruck explosion•Trump Hotel•Las Vegas•Sam Shoemate•Navy•Shawn Ryan•Afghanistan•China•Livelsberger•Special Forces•FBI
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full release by FBI • 25%
Full release by media • 25%
Partial release only • 25%
No release • 25%
Media outlets or official FBI release
Story
Matthew Livelsberger's Manifesto Alleges Advanced Drone Tech Before Cybertruck Explosion at Trump Hotel Las Vegas on December 31st
Jan 3, 2025, 09:03 PM
Matthew A. Livelsberger, identified as the perpetrator of the Tesla Cybertruck explosion at Trump Hotel in Las Vegas, sent a manifesto to retired U.S. Army intelligence officer Sam Shoemate before the incident on December 31st. The manifesto, which was also shared with former Navy SEAL Shawn Ryan, alleges the use of advanced drone technology, U.S. war crimes in Afghanistan, and claims that China uses 'gravitic propulsion systems' in drones. Livelsberger, a Master Sergeant and former Special Forces soldier, stated in the email that he was being tracked by the FBI and mentioned possessing a 'massive VBIED [vehicle borne IED].' The explosion, described as a suicide attack, occurred on New Year's Eve, and the manifesto has been passed along to the FBI for further investigation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
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Yes • 50%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Major backlash against Fani Willis • 25%
Support for Fani Willis increases • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased public interest • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Increased public support for investigation • 25%