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Will the fire at Platan Research Institute impact Russian defense production?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian defense ministry or credible news agencies
Story
Major Fire at Platan Defense Research Institute Near Moscow, Staff Trapped
Jun 24, 2024, 12:34 PM
A major fire has broken out at the Platan Research Institute, a key radio-electronic defense industry producer, in the town of Fryazino near Moscow region. The incident, reported by Russian media, has led to dense black smoke rising from the main building. There are concerns that staff may be trapped inside. Platan Research Institute is known for producing components used in Russian fighter jets, nuclear launch munitions, and S-400 air defenses.
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No impact • 25%
Minor delays (less than 3 months) • 25%
Moderate delays (3-6 months) • 25%
Severe delays (more than 6 months) • 25%
Significant delay • 25%
Moderate delay • 25%
Minor delay • 25%
No impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minor damage (less than $10 million) • 25%
Moderate damage ($10 million - $50 million) • 25%
Severe damage ($50 million - $100 million) • 25%
Catastrophic damage (over $100 million) • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Electronics development • 25%
Nuclear munitions • 25%
S-400 air defenses • 25%
Multiple areas • 25%
Electrical Fault • 25%
Human Error • 25%
Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accidental • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other/Undetermined • 25%