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Market
Will the EU impose sanctions on Russia related to the prisoner swap involving Pablo González by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official EU announcements or credible news sources
Story
Spanish Journalist Pablo González Revealed as Russian Spy in Largest Prisoner Swap Since Soviet Era
Aug 4, 2024, 02:20 PM
Pablo González, a Spanish journalist who was arrested in 2022, has been revealed to be a Russian spy. González, a 42-year-old with a shaved head and beard, covertly freelanced for the government-funded Voice of America (VOA) and was part of a recent prisoner swap, the largest since the Soviet era. He was jailed in Poland and was welcomed by Russian President Vladimir Putin after his release. González's double life has been a subject of mystery, with many in Warsaw knowing him as an extroverted reporter. His inclusion in the prisoner swap seems to confirm suspicions about his espionage activities.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes, New Sanctions • 25%
Yes, Extension of Existing Sanctions • 25%
No, No New Sanctions • 25%
No, Lift Existing Sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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