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Will the EU implement new regulations on Musk's platforms by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official EU regulatory announcements or major news reports
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Vice President-elect JD Vance: US May Drop NATO Support over EU Regulations on Elon Musk's X
Nov 9, 2024, 05:02 PM
Vice President-elect JD Vance has stated that the United States could drop support for NATO if Europe tries to regulate Elon Musk's platforms, such as X (formerly Twitter). Emphasizing the importance of free speech, Vance said, "It's insane that we would support a military alliance if that military alliance isn't gonna be pro-free speech." He suggested that American support for NATO should be predicated on the European Union's regulatory stance toward Elon Musk's social media platforms.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful regulation • 25%
Regulation blocked • 25%
Regulation delayed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
No fine imposed, compliance achieved • 25%
Extended deadline • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Compliance with EU rules • 25%
Legal challenge against EU • 25%
Relocation of operations • 25%
No response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fully comply • 25%
Partially comply • 25%
Do not comply • 25%
Appeal the warning • 25%
No Action • 25%
Formal Warning • 25%
Fine • 25%
Other • 25%