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Will the EU face legal challenges from member states over 'return hubs' by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or official statements from EU member states
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EU Could Propose 'Return Hubs' for Illegal Migrants by March, Say Swedish PM Ulf Kristersson and Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer
Jan 2, 2025, 05:14 PM
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced that the European Union could submit a proposal as soon as March on the creation of so-called 'return hubs' to expedite the removal of illegal migrants. Kristersson outlined this potential timetable during a meeting in Vienna with Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer. Both leaders urged the EU to intensify efforts to combat irregular migration, proposing the establishment of centers outside the EU for migrants who have no right to stay in the bloc. The issue of irregular migration has been a pressing concern across the EU, influencing political agendas and contributing to the rise of far-right parties.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
UK wins all challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
UK loses all challenges • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
National courts of EU member states • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
European Court of Justice • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No action taken • 25%
Formal censure or sanctions • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Moderately strengthened • 25%
Significantly strengthened • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Austria • 25%