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Will the EU confirm that it offered X an illegal secret deal to avoid fines by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the European Commission or credible news sources
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EU Finds Elon Musk's X in Breach of Digital Services Act Over Blue Checkmarks
Jul 12, 2024, 02:51 PM
The European Union has issued preliminary findings that Elon Musk's social media platform, X, is in breach of the Digital Services Act (DSA). The EU accuses X of deceptive practices, particularly regarding its blue checkmark verification system, which the EU claims misleads users. The platform is also cited for lacking advertising transparency, using dark patterns, and not providing data access to researchers. If the findings are confirmed, X could face significant fines, potentially up to 6% of its global revenue. The EU has given X the right to defend itself against these allegations. Additionally, Elon Musk has claimed that the European Commission offered X an illegal secret deal to avoid fines in exchange for censoring speech, which X refused. The EU has denied this claim.
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No Breach Confirmed • 25%
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Breach Confirmed, Changes Required • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Warning issued but no fine • 25%
Fine issued • 25%
Platform banned in the EU • 25%
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X is fined • 25%
X is cleared • 25%
X is given a warning • 25%
Other • 25%
