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Will the EU and China reach an agreement on medical device procurement by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the EU Commission or Chinese government, or verified news sources
Story
EU to Restrict Chinese Companies in Response to Discrimination Against EU Medical Device Producers
Jan 14, 2025, 12:47 PM
The European Union has concluded an investigation finding clear evidence that China is limiting access for EU medical device producers to its government contracts. The EU Commission stated that it is assessing next steps to address the discrimination in the Chinese public procurement market for medical devices. The investigation confirmed the EU's concerns that China discriminates against foreign firms in its procurement of medical devices. The EU is exploring measures to level the playing field, including potentially restricting Chinese companies from EU contracts. The EU stands ready to impose public procurement restrictions on Chinese companies following this report, the first of its kind under the International Procurement Instrument (IPI).
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No agreement, continued discussions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
China escalates to WTO • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other changes • 25%
More restrictive policies • 25%
Less restrictive policies • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Project delayed • 25%
Project unaffected • 25%
Project expedited • 25%
Project halted • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%