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Will the certification process on January 6, 2025, proceed without significant disruptions?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from security agencies and news outlets
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Congress to Certify Trump's 2024 Election Victory on January 6, Harris Presiding Over 312-226 Electoral Vote
Jan 4, 2025, 08:31 PM
Congress is set to convene on January 6 to certify Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election. The certification process, which is a constitutional requirement, will take place in a joint session of Congress. Vice President Kamala Harris, who lost the election to Trump, will preside over the session, following the precedent set by Mike Pence in 2021. The session is expected to be routine and less eventful than the certification four years ago, which was disrupted by a violent mob of Trump supporters. The Electoral College vote count, which was decisive at 312-226 in favor of Trump over Harris, will be officially tallied and announced during this session.
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Technical issues • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Political objections • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges lead to recounts • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
