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Will the Brazilian Supreme Court's appeal favor X by the end of the appeal process?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court rulings or official statements from the Brazilian Supreme Court
Story
Brazilian Supreme Court Threatens to Ban Elon Musk's X in 24 Hours
Aug 29, 2024, 12:46 AM
The Brazilian Supreme Court, led by Justice Alexandre de Moraes, has issued a summons to Elon Musk and his company, X, formerly known as Twitter, to appoint a new legal representative in Brazil. The court has threatened to ban the social media platform in the country within 24 hours if the company fails to comply with the court orders. This move is part of a broader legal challenge concerning censorship requests that Musk has previously criticized as violating Brazilian laws. The appeal challenging these orders is set to begin on Friday, Aug 30. The situation has escalated with the court's ultimatum, which could result in X being taken offline in Brazil.
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X fully complies and resumes operations • 25%
X partially complies and faces further restrictions • 25%
X does not comply and remains banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Reinstate the ban • 25%
Issue new fines • 25%
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Other • 25%
Reinstate the ban • 25%
Impose new fines • 25%
No further action • 25%
Other • 25%
Uphold the ban • 33%
Reverse the ban • 33%
Modify the ban • 33%
Lift suspension • 25%
Maintain suspension • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
Other action • 25%
Fine paid, suspension lifted • 25%
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X complies fully • 25%
X partially complies • 25%
X does not comply • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban fully lifted • 25%
Ban partially lifted • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Ban extended with new conditions • 25%
X complies and pays fines • 25%
X wins the legal battle • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%