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Market
Will the Bloc Québécois win more than 10 seats in the next Canadian general election?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results from Elections Canada
Story
Trudeau Suffers Political Setback as Liberals Lose LaSalle—Émard—Verdun Seat to Bloc Québécois
Sep 17, 2024, 11:20 AM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has suffered a significant political setback as his Liberal Party lost a special election in the Montreal district of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun, a seat that was previously considered a Liberal stronghold. The Bloc Québécois emerged victorious in this byelection, marking the second loss of a Liberal stronghold for Trudeau. This defeat, which Trudeau called an 'important moment' for Canada, places him under increased pressure as he returns to Parliament.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More than 10 • 50%
10 or fewer • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New Democratic Party (NDP) • 25%
Other • 25%
Liberal Party • 25%
Conservative Party • 25%
NDP • 25%
Bloc Québécois • 25%
Less than 50 seats • 25%
50 to 60 seats • 25%
60 to 70 seats • 25%
More than 70 seats • 25%
