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Will the Biden administration acknowledge policy non-compliance on civilian harm investigations by January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statement or press release from the White House or State Department
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Biden Administration Faces Nearly 500 Reports of Civilian Harm from Israel's Use of U.S. Weapons in Gaza
Oct 30, 2024, 02:03 PM
The Biden administration has received nearly 500 reports alleging that Israel used U.S.-supplied weapons in attacks that caused unnecessary harm to civilians in the Gaza Strip. Despite these allegations, the administration has failed to comply with its own policies requiring swift investigations into such claims. The State Department has reported that these incidents resulted in tens of thousands of civilian casualties. Officials have expressed concerns over the lack of action taken by the administration in response to these reports.
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Confirmed as intentional strike • 25%
Confirmed as accidental strike • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation completed • 25%
IDF admits targeting the press car • 25%
IDF claims collateral damage • 25%
IDF claims mistaken identity • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Admit and justify the actions • 25%
Deny the allegations • 25%
Admit and promise to cease actions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Confirmed Hezbollah ammunition depot • 25%
Mistaken target • 25%
Collateral damage • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
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No • 50%
SDF • 25%
Turkey • 25%
U.S. military error • 25%
No official blame • 25%