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Market
Will Taiwan conduct military exercises with M1A2T tanks by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense or credible news outlets
Story
Taiwan Receives First Batch of 38 US-Made M1A2T Tanks, Part of 108 Tank Deal and $1 Billion F-16 Agreement
Dec 16, 2024, 12:48 AM
Taiwan has received its first batch of 38 American-made M1A2T Abrams tanks as part of a military procurement package from the United States. The shipment arrived at the Port of Taipei on December 15, 2024, following the arrival of accessory equipment in Kaohsiung two days earlier. This acquisition is significant as it marks the first delivery of Abrams tanks to Taiwan since 1990, aimed at bolstering the island's defense capabilities amid concerns over potential aggression from China. The procurement package includes a total of 108 tanks, with this initial batch being a crucial step in modernizing Taiwan's aging military hardware.
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Increased deterrence against China • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military tension with China • 25%
Other • 25%
Focus on defense • 25%
Focus on offense • 25%
Balanced strategy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Naval exercises • 25%
Air force drills • 25%
Cyber defense exercises • 25%
Joint exercises with allies • 25%