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Market
Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 successfully deploy all Starlink satellites for the Starlink 10-9 mission on July 27, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official SpaceX reports, news outlets covering the deployment
Story
FAA Clears SpaceX's Falcon 9 for Launch on July 27 After Mid-Flight Failure
Jul 26, 2024, 06:10 AM
SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket has been cleared by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to return to flight following an upper stage failure on July 11. The anomaly was traced to a liquid oxygen (LOX) leak, and the faulty component was removed. SpaceX conducted a successful static fire test at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station on July 25, 2024, as part of its preparation to resume launches. The company is targeting July 27 for the launch of the Starlink 10-9 mission from Launch Complex 39A at Kennedy Space Center, with liftoff scheduled for 12:21 a.m. ET. This rapid return to flight after a two-week hiatus underscores SpaceX's ability to quickly address and resolve technical issues, leveraging extensive flight data gathered from its frequent launches.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 200 • 25%
200-400 • 25%
401-600 • 25%
More than 600 • 25%
All satellites reach intended orbit • 25%
Some satellites reach intended orbit • 25%
None of the satellites reach intended orbit • 25%
All satellites fail completely • 25%
