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Market
Will SpaceX secure a Pentagon contract through the consortium by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from SpaceX or the Department of Defense
Story
Palantir and Anduril Form Consortium with SpaceX, OpenAI for $850 Billion Pentagon Contracts
Dec 22, 2024, 05:20 PM
Palantir Technologies and Anduril Industries are collaborating with several technology companies, including SpaceX and OpenAI, to form a consortium aimed at bidding for U.S. government contracts, particularly those related to the Pentagon. This strategic alliance involves about a dozen competitors and is part of a larger effort to secure a share of the estimated $850 billion defense budget. The consortium seeks to leverage the advanced capabilities of its members to enhance their competitiveness in the defense sector.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Contracts reviewed and modified • 25%
Contracts reviewed with no changes • 25%
Contracts suspended • 25%
No review conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NASA contract • 25%
Department of Defense contract • 25%
Department of Energy contract • 25%
No major contract • 25%
NASA • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
International Government • 25%
Commercial Entity • 25%