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Will someone other than Thune or Cornyn be Senate GOP Leader by January 2024?
5
Mitch McConnell•Republican Party•South Dakota•John Thune•McConnell•John Cornyn•Texas•Senate Republicans
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the Senate Republican Conference or major news outlets
Story
Mitch McConnell to Step Down as Senate GOP Leader in January After Two Decades, Leadership Race Set for November 13
Nov 3, 2024, 05:00 PM
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is set to step down from his leadership position in January 2024, marking the end of his nearly two-decade tenure. This transition has created a leadership vacuum within the Republican Party, prompting speculation about potential successors. South Dakota Senator John Thune, currently McConnell's No. 2, and former No. 2 John Cornyn of Texas are considered the front-runners for the role. A secret ballot to select McConnell's replacement is scheduled for November 13, 2024. In the meantime, Senate Republicans are actively campaigning and fundraising to support their colleagues in anticipation of the upcoming leadership change.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
John Cornyn • 33%
John Thune • 33%
Another candidate • 34%
John Cornyn • 25%
Rick Scott • 25%
John Thune • 25%
Other • 25%
Senator A • 33%
Senator B • 33%
Senator C • 33%
Other • 1%
Rick Scott • 33%
John Thune • 33%
John Cornyn • 33%
Other • 1%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Other • 25%
John Thune • 33%
John Cornyn • 33%
Rick Scott • 33%
Other • 1%
