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Will significant protests occur against Kavelashvili's presidency in Georgia by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major international news agencies and local news outlets
Story
Far-Right Former Footballer Mikheil Kavelashvili Elected President of Georgia, Succeeds Salome Zourabichvili
Dec 14, 2024, 11:37 AM
Mikheil Kavelashvili, a former soccer player and a member of the ruling party, has been elected as the new president of Georgia. His election marks a consolidation of power for the far-right faction within the government. Kavelashvili is known for his hardline stance and criticism of the West, raising concerns about the country's future direction. He succeeds Salome Zourabichvili, who previously held the presidency. The decision by Georgian lawmakers reflects a significant shift in the political landscape, aligning with the ruling party's agenda.
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Increased international intervention • 25%
Protests subside without major change • 25%
Kavelashvili steps down • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased repression • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
Kavelashvili resignation • 25%
Zourabichvili returns to power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Kavelashvili remains president • 25%
Government reverses decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Government crackdown intensifies • 25%
Protests subside without change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests are suppressed without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests lead to policy change • 25%
Protests lead to government resignation • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Protests are suppressed without changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests successfully lead to policy changes • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Enhanced cooperation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Government Reshuffle • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
New elections • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of protests • 25%