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Will SCOTUS rule Louisiana's redistricting violates federal law by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Supreme Court ruling publication
Story
Supreme Court to Hear Louisiana Redistricting Case on Race Post-Election
Nov 4, 2024, 02:53 PM
The US Supreme Court has agreed to hear a significant case concerning the use of race in redistricting, focusing on Louisiana's congressional map. The case involves the creation of an additional majority-Black voting district and has implications for Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. This legal challenge arises from claims that the state's effort to draw the map unlawfully considered race. The court's decision will address whether Louisiana's attempt to form a second majority-Black voting district violated federal law. The case is set to be reviewed post-election.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Uphold new maps • 25%
Reject new maps • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Map upheld • 33%
Map struck down • 33%
Remanded for further proceedings • 34%
Voting Rights Act violation • 33%
Fourteenth Amendment violation • 33%
No violation found • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthen race considerations • 25%
Weaken race considerations • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Current boundaries upheld • 25%
New boundaries implemented • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
One majority-Black district • 25%
Two majority-Black districts • 25%
More than two majority-Black districts • 25%
No majority-Black district • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
