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Market
Will Russia respond militarily to NATO involvement by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified reports from major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or official government statements
Story
Russia Warns UN on Friday: NATO Involvement in Ukraine Long-Range Strikes Could Lead to Direct War
Sep 13, 2024, 02:36 PM
Russia's UN Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia issued a stark warning to the United Nations Security Council on Friday, stating that if Western countries allow Ukraine to conduct long-range strikes on Russian soil, it would push NATO countries into direct war with Russia. Nebenzia emphasized that NATO would become a direct party to hostilities against a nuclear power if such actions were permitted. The warning underscores the heightened tensions and potential for escalation in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Moscow has reiterated that lifting restrictions on Ukraine's long-range strikes would necessitate a response.
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Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions pursued • 25%
Military support to Ukraine increased • 25%
No significant change in response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Cyberattacks on NATO countries • 25%
Airstrikes on Ukrainian territory • 25%
Deployment of additional troops to borders • 25%
Other • 25%