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Will Russia launch a military strike in response to the Kursk attack by September 30, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Russian government or verified news reports
Story
Putin Decides on Response to Kursk Attack
Aug 23, 2024, 07:16 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has made a decision on how to respond to an attack on the Kursk region, according to Russian Ambassador to the United States, Anatoly Antonov. The ambassador stated that those responsible for the attack will face severe punishment. This announcement follows reports of a sortie by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) in the Kursk region. The situation has heightened tensions, with expectations of a significant response from Russia.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retreat from Kursk • 25%
Major counter-offensive • 25%
Negotiation for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major military offensive • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Cyber-attacks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
