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Will Russia escalate militarily in response to Storm Shadow missile use by February 2025?
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United Kingdom•France•Ukraine•Russia•Kursk•Ukrainian•Biden•Kyiv•British Storm Shadow•Russian•The Times•British•Keir Starmer
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian government or military actions reported by major news outlets
Story
UK, France, and US Allow Ukraine to Use Storm Shadow Missiles in Kursk Region and Deep into Russia
Nov 20, 2024, 10:52 AM
The United Kingdom and France have authorized Ukraine to use Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles against targets in Russia's Kursk region. This decision, reported by RBC-Ukraine and confirmed by senior Ukrainian military-political sources, signifies a notable development in the ongoing conflict. Additionally, the Biden administration has given Kyiv permission to use British Storm Shadow missiles for strikes deep into Russian territory, as reported by The Times. This marks a shift in the stance of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who had previously ruled out such authorization.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase military presence near UK interests • 25%
Conduct military exercises • 25%
Launch retaliatory strikes • 25%
No military action • 25%
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No • 50%
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No • 50%
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No • 50%
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Increased military action • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%