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Will Russia and South Korea officially downgrade diplomatic relations by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the governments of Russia or South Korea or credible news sources such as Reuters or BBC
Story
Russia Warns South Korea of 'All Means' Response Over Arms to Ukraine
Nov 24, 2024, 03:19 PM
Russia has issued a stern warning to South Korea, stating that any shipment of arms to Ukraine will result in a comprehensive response from Moscow. The Russian Foreign Ministry emphasized that such actions would 'fully destroy' relations between Moscow and Seoul. The Ministry stated that they would respond 'in every way' and 'by all means'. This warning comes amid heightened tensions as the conflict in Ukraine continues to draw international involvement.
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Sever diplomatic ties • 25%
Reduce diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increase diplomatic engagement • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
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No • 50%
Russia withdraws troops • 25%
Diplomatic tensions increase • 25%
No change in situation • 25%
Formal apology issued • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal peace talks • 25%