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Will Ric Grenell be confirmed as CIA Director by June 30, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Central Intelligence Agency•CIA•Patel•Trump•ISIS•Senate•National Intelligence John Ratcliffe•Ric Grenell
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Senate confirmation announcements or credible news sources
Story
Trump Loyalist Kash Patel Emerges as Top CIA Pick, Faces Senate Confirmation Hurdles
Nov 6, 2024, 09:59 PM
Donald Trump is considering appointing Kashyap 'Kash' Patel as the next director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). Patel, a Trump loyalist and top contender for the position, has overseen the successful prosecution of criminals aligned with Al-Qaida, ISIS, and other terror groups, working with key counterterrorism units to conduct global targeting operations against high-value terrorism targets. Trump allies have put forward Patel's name, and Patel has told associates he wants the role. However, any appointment requiring Senate confirmation may face challenges. Other potential candidates for the CIA director position include former Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe and Ric Grenell.
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Similar markets
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Yes • 50%
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Appointed as envoy • 25%
Not appointed, remains in another role • 25%
Not appointed, exits government service • 25%
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