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Will Polymarket restrict access for French users by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Polymarket's official website or announcements regarding user access restrictions
Story
France May Ban Polymarket After $3.5B Bets, $48M Trump Winnings
Nov 7, 2024, 11:19 AM
France's National Gaming Authority (ANJ) is examining the operations of Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, following a surge in user demand around the US presidential election. Polymarket reportedly raked in $3.5 billion during the election period. The regulator stated, "We are aware of this site and are currently examining its operation and compliance." A French trader potentially made $48 million in winnings by betting on former President Donald Trump, prompting increased scrutiny. Polymarket, which is already banned for US users, may face restricted access or a potential ban in France as the investigation continues.
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Full compliance achieved • 25%
Partial compliance achieved • 25%
No compliance achieved • 25%
Other status • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Temporary suspension of operations • 25%
Permanent shutdown • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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