Loading...
Market
Will Poland suspend asylum application rights by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Polish government or verified reports from international organizations
Story
Poland's Maciej Duszczyk Announces 418 km Wall by Mid-2025 to Seal Border with Belarus Amid 'Hybrid War' Concerns
Dec 29, 2024, 03:24 PM
Poland has announced plans to seal its border with Belarus by constructing a wall spanning 418 kilometers, with completion expected by mid-2025. The initiative, led by Deputy Minister for Migration Maciej Duszczyk, aims to curb the influx of migrants, which Warsaw describes as part of a 'hybrid war' orchestrated by Russia. The wall construction is part of broader security measures, including the installation of night vision and thermal imaging cameras along the border. The Polish government, under Prime Minister Donald Tusk, has emphasized the importance of national security over migration, stating that aggressive actions against the border could lead to the suspension of asylum application rights. This development reflects a shift in Poland's immigration policy, contrasting with previous years.
View original story
Similar markets
Formal censure or sanctions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Voluntarily leaves Hungary • 25%
Extradited to Poland • 25%
Remains in asylum • 25%
Other legal resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All of the above • 20%
None • 20%
France • 20%
Belgium • 20%
Greece • 20%
Other developments • 25%
Policies remain suspended • 25%
Partial resumption • 25%
Policies fully resume • 25%