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Market
Will Osiel Cárdenas Guillén be re-arrested in the U.S. by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. Department of Justice or U.S. Federal Bureau of Prisons records
Story
Los Zetas Founder Osiel Cárdenas Guillén Released from U.S. Prison, Faces Possible Deportation to Mexico
Aug 30, 2024, 04:47 PM
Osiel Cárdenas Guillén, the former leader of the Gulf Cartel and founder of the paramilitary group Los Zetas, has been released from a U.S. prison in Terre Haute, Indiana, after serving 21 years. Initially sentenced to 25 years for drug trafficking, money laundering, and threats against U.S. security agents, his release date was set for August 30, 2024, following reductions for time served. The U.S. Federal Bureau of Prisons confirmed his transfer to U.S. Immigration authorities, and he may face deportation to Mexico, where he has pending legal issues. Cárdenas, known for his violent tactics, was captured and extradited to the United States in 2009.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Leader of Gulf Cartel • 25%
Leader of Los Zetas • 25%
Leader of Another Cartel • 25%
No Leadership Role • 25%
Drug Trafficking • 25%
Money Laundering • 25%
Other Crimes • 25%
No Involvement • 25%
Mexico • 25%
United States • 25%
Another country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Continues to serve sentence • 25%
Transferred to another facility • 25%
Released on technicality • 25%
Escapes custody • 25%
Conviction on all charges • 25%
Conviction on some charges • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial or appeal • 25%
