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Will North Korea respond positively to Ukraine's POW exchange proposal by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the North Korean government
Story
Zelensky Proposes Exchange of Two North Korean Soldiers Captured in Kursk for Ukrainian POWs
Jan 12, 2025, 08:21 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has proposed an exchange of two North Korean soldiers, captured by Ukrainian forces in Russia's Kursk region, for Ukrainian prisoners of war held by Russia. This marks the first time Ukraine has announced capturing North Korean soldiers alive since their deployment last autumn. Zelensky announced that Ukraine is ready to return the captured North Korean soldiers to their leader, Kim Jong Un, if he can facilitate the exchange for Ukrainian soldiers detained in Russia. He also mentioned that there will likely be more North Korean soldiers captured by Ukrainian forces in the future, emphasizing the dependency of the Russian army on North Korean military assistance. Approximately 11,000 North Korean troops have been deployed in the Kursk region, and both Russian and North Korean forces have reportedly suffered heavy losses.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful exchange • 25%
Exchange offer rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiate exchange • 25%
No official response • 25%
Demand immediate return • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
UN sanctions against North Korea • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
