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Will North Korea provide military support to Russia in Ukraine in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible international news agencies and military intelligence sources
Story
Kim Jong Un Calls Putin 'Dearest Friend,' Vows to Strengthen Strategic Partnership in New Year's Message
Dec 31, 2024, 04:53 AM
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has sent a New Year's message to Russian President Vladimir Putin, expressing his commitment to strengthening the strategic partnership between North Korea and Russia. In the letter, Kim referred to Putin as his 'dearest friend and comrade' and extended his greetings to the 'fraternal Russian people' and the 'brave Russian army.' He expressed hopes that 2025 would be a year of victory for Russia, specifically mentioning the defeat of 'neo-Nazism' and achieving a 'great victory.' This message comes amidst deepening ties between Pyongyang and Moscow, which have been bolstered since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Kim also expressed readiness to design and advance new projects between the two nations following their 'meaningful journey' in 2024.
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No impact on conflict • 25%
Significant impact on conflict • 25%
Moderate impact on conflict • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Ammunition • 25%
Missiles • 25%
Personnel • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease in Support • 25%
Increase in Support • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
No Change • 25%
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No • 50%
Artillery Supply • 25%
Troop Deployment • 25%
Other Military Support • 25%
Supply of Drones • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
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Significant North Korean losses • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%